CI
CHART INDUSTRIES INC (GTLS)·Q3 2025 Earnings Summary
Executive Summary
- Q3 2025 delivered record orders ($1.68B, +43.9% YoY) and 34.1% gross margin, but GAAP EPS was impacted by a $266M termination fee related to the Flowserve merger; adjusted EPS was $2.78 while sales were $1.10B (+3.6% YoY) .
- Versus S&P Global consensus, Chart missed on adjusted EPS ($2.78 vs $3.12*), revenue ($1.10B vs $1.186B*), and EBITDA ($266.1M* vs $308.5M*); drivers included a difficult RSL comparison and the absence of large orders in Q4 guidance commentary .
- Adjusted operating margin reached a record 22.9%; adjusted EBITDA was $277.1M (25.2% of sales), aided by HTS mix (LNG and data centers) and productivity improvements .
- Strategic catalyst: pending Baker Hughes acquisition at $210 cash per share received shareholder approval (Oct 6) and is expected to close by mid-2026; Chart is not providing 2025 guidance due to the transaction .
What Went Well and What Went Wrong
What Went Well
- Record order momentum across HTS and Specialty Products, including awards for Sempra’s Port Arthur LNG Phase 2 and a major U.S. data center heat rejection system, driving backlog to $6.05B .
- Operational execution lifted profitability: adjusted operating margin hit 22.9% and adjusted EBITDA reached $277.1M (25.2% of sales), reflecting productivity and favorable project mix (more full solutions) .
- Management emphasized continued strength in LNG and data centers and record safety performance (TRIR 0.37): “Our commercial momentum continues… strength in LNG and data centers... record adjusted operating income margin of 22.9%” — CEO Jill Evanko .
What Went Wrong
- RSL sales declined 8.4% YoY on non-repeat, high-margin aftermarket equipment purchases and completion of a large field project in Q3 2024; RSL adjusted OI margin fell 460 bps YoY to 34.6% .
- CTS sales fell 7.0% YoY with adjusted OI margin down 510 bps to 11.1% due to lower industrial gas volume and pass-through inflation impacts .
- Company flagged no large orders anticipated in Q4 2025, tempering near-term upside despite strong base momentum; CFO also cited $79M semi-annual interest in Q3 affecting cash flow .
Financial Results
Headline Financials – Sequential (Q1 → Q2 → Q3 2025)
YoY Comparison – Q3 2024 vs Q3 2025
Segment Breakdown
KPIs and Operating Metrics
Guidance Changes
Note: Company withdrew FY25 guidance in Q2 upon announcing Baker Hughes transaction and reiterated no FY25 guidance in Q3 .
Earnings Call Themes & Trends
Note: No Q3 call was hosted; Q2 call was cancelled due to Baker Hughes transaction .
Management Commentary
- “Our commercial momentum continues… strength in our end markets, especially in LNG and data centers… record adjusted operating income margin of 22.9% and gross margin… 34.1%.” — Jill Evanko, CEO .
- “We recorded an expense of $266 million for the merger termination fee to Flowserve… a liability of $258 million as we could be required to repay Baker Hughes in certain limited circumstances.” .
- “We do not anticipate any large orders in the fourth quarter 2025.” .
- “Third quarter 2025 net leverage ratio of 2.78… our lowest since the close of the Howden acquisition.” .
Q&A Highlights
Note: No Q3 2025 earnings call; highlights are from Q1 2025 call.
- Tariffs mitigation: estimated ~$50M gross annual impact pre-mitigation; actions include regional sourcing, exemptions, pricing mechanisms; aim to avoid material margin impact .
- Data center opportunity: pipeline grew to ~$400M over 12–18 months across cryogenic cooling, air coolers, fans; accelerating addressable opportunities .
- LNG demand: ~$1B LNG pipeline over 12 months; IPSMR process technology driving visibility and mix benefits .
- RSL resilience: mission-critical installed base supports maintenance spend in downturns; aftermarket seen as countercyclical; growth across retrofit/service and spares .
- Seasonality: margins and revenue seasonality expected to be consistent with recent years .
Estimates Context
Consensus vs actual (S&P Global; Q3 2025):
Values retrieved from S&P Global.
Company-reported adjusted EBITDA was $277.1M (25.2% margin) and adjusted EPS $2.78, with adjustments including the $266M termination fee (EPS impact +$5.92), step-up amortization (+$0.92), and other items .
Drivers of misses:
- Revenue: RSL tough YoY compare (non-repeat aftermarket equipment, large field project completed in Q3 2024) and segment mix (CTS softness) .
- EBITDA/EPS: mix shift plus FOAK cost in Specialty Products and lower CTS profitability; GAAP EPS impacted by termination fee (non-operational) .
Key Takeaways for Investors
- Near-term narrative: strong orders/backlog and record adjusted margins, but Q4 lacks large order catalysts; trading setup skews to execution and backlog conversion rather than fresh megaproject wins .
- Mix tailwinds: HTS benefiting from LNG/data centers with >1,000 bps YoY margin expansion; watch for continued conversion and full-solution content to sustain high-20s+ adjusted operating margin .
- RSL normalization: margins in expected range but growth paused on tough comps; aftermarket remains strategic ballast through cycles; monitor service agreements growth and digital uptime adoption .
- Specialty Products: orders robust (carbon capture, nuclear, mining), but FOAK production costs and HLNG vehicle tank timing are profit headwinds; expect incremental efficiency gains in coming quarters .
- Balance sheet improving: net leverage 2.78 and FCF generation despite $79M semi-annual interest; preferred stock auto-conversion in Dec 2025 will affect share count dynamics .
- Transaction overlay: Baker Hughes acquisition at $210/share frames medium-term outcome; regulatory/timing risks persist but shareholder approval secured; no standalone FY25 guidance while deal pending .
- Medium-term thesis: diversified end-market exposure (LNG, data centers, nuclear/helium) plus full-solution strategy positions Chart for sustained high-margin execution; watch order timing, FOAK cost management, and backlog-to-revenue cadence .